The Tehran Foreign Policy Studies Quarterly
 

Bahrain: Internal Conflicts and Macro-Crises

Abbas Abu-Safvan
(Bahraini researcher and political expert in London)

Violent raid on Ayatollah Isa Qassim's followers while they had a sit-in encampment around this Shia spiritual leader's house and killing of five Bahraini citizens, and sentencing the leader of Al-Wefaq National Islamic Society to life imprisonment are not coincidental. It is definitely a per-fectly designed plan by the support of regional and trans-regional powers. On one hand, the United States backs the oppressive regime of Manama because of its animosity with Iran and Bahraini shia cooperation with the resistance axis with Iran's leadership, and on the other hand, Saudi Arabia's influence on Bahrain's power movements and ruling system has led Saudi Arabia to think that shia's success in internal conflicts is in fact a preface to ending their own influence, and have therefore mobilized all their capacities to crush Bahrain's internal protests and stabilize weak and unstable regime of this country. It is reasonably predicted that they continue to sen-tence opposing agents to long imprisonments, assault the protesters and suppress public demands under the protection of powers such as Saudi Arabia. That's because Bahrain's regime can't have a military victory over the opposing movements or force them to accept its conditions on the one hand, and on the other, it is both paying for its own political demands and regional and interna-tional competitions.


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